5 amplifiers

All Amplifiers

Slow-moving structural variables that scale the Crash Configuration Index. Each amplifier is normalized 0–100; elevated state compresses the system’s shock-absorbing capacity.

concentration
Concentration
Concentration sits at 0.99, at maximum amplifier load inside the severe step. State Street SSGA (2026-06-02) lists NVIDIA and Apple as SPY's top positions at 8.36% and 6.89%. BlackRock iShares (2026-06-02) reports IVV net assets of $859.85 billion with 38.48% information technology exposure. The position de-loads only when index weight dispersion broadens.
SPY Information Technology at 37.42% as of Jun 11 2026; ETFGI reports $78.62 billion May equity ETF inflow; no active flow amplification observed 62%
cre_debt_wall
CRE debt wall
CRE debt wall sits at 0.65, below the 0.85 operator-policy band but still loaded. Trepp (2026-06-01) reports May CMBS delinquency at 7.55%, while FDIC (2026-05-27) reports nonfarm nonresidential CRE PDNA at 1.65%. MBA (2026-04-27) puts commercial mortgage delinquency at 4.02%. Section 13.6 de-load requires lower delinquency rates and better refinancing conditions.
$875B 65%
equity_valuation
Valuation
Valuation current_state is 0.99, at the ceiling of the operator policy band. Multpl.com (Robert Shiller data) published_at 2026-06-05 reports "Current Shiller PE Ratio: 41.57". FactSet Research Systems Inc. published_at 2026-06-05 reports "84% (72 out of 86)" of oil-citing S&P 500 companies with 2026 EPS guidance maintained or increased it. The position de-loads when valuation and earnings evidence retreat together.
CAPE 41.2 99%
ig_supply
IG supply
IG supply holds at 0.55, loaded but below the 0.85 operator-policy band. SIFMA (2026-06-02) reports corporate bond issuance through May at $1,226.8 billion, up 21.1% year over year. Federal Reserve H.15 (2026-06-02) keeps 10-year Treasury at 4.47% and 30-year at 4.99%. The position de-loads on cleaner supply absorption without spread widening.
corp IG $1.0T YTD 2026 (SIFMA) 55%
tether_tbills
Tether T-bills
Tether T-bills sits at current_state 0.30, below the operator policy band. Federal Reserve H.4.1 (published 2026-05-21) shows SOMA Bills at 459,607 million and reverse repurchase agreements at 342,628 million, consistent with T-bill market depth absorbing reserve-sector demand without pricing pressure. Section 13 conditions remain unmet; de-load requires a material USDT contraction or sustained reduction in T-bill concentration.
$117B 30%